TP4-2: Socio-economics

Socio-economic evaluation of agroforestry systems

Summary

The objective of the research is the economic assessment of the implementation of agroforestry systems at farm level. It takes into consideration the relevant contingency factors such as natural conditions, alternative crops, and structural characteristics of agriculture in rural areas as well as the option to disinvest at certain stages of the growing process. In addition to this, further objectives are dealing with the acceptance of more sustainable land use systems by farmers. To challenge this task, we use a real option approach as well as a sensitivity analysis. This will help us to consider the option to disinvest, as well as to assess the sensitivity of the model to changing conditions such as crop prices and yiels. As most of the research did before, detailed information on natural conditions, alternative crops, and structural characteristics of agriculture are taken into consideration. Furthermore, the economic analysis is based on secondary data, publicly available standard values, and additional data is collected through on-farm visits and expert interviews. To analyze the attitude of farmers and stakeholders concerning alternative agricultural production systems, a questionnaire will be designed to generate empirical data. The local natural and societal conditions as well as varying preferences and attitudes of farms in different German regions regarding agroforestry systems will be assessed to be able to tailor-make solutions for a wider acceptance of such systems. Possible participants will be addressed through a random sampling strategy at the biggest global farming exhibition as well as an online questionnaire. To evaluate the preferences of farmers with respect to alternative agricultural production systems, the economic and social valuation of agroforestry systems will be based on choice-based conjoint analysis. The offline and online survey will be designed with the software ACA 8.2 from Sawtooth Software and the offline survey will be conducted using tablet-based questionnaires. The real options approach will be calculated using the industry-standard software @Risk from Palisade Software.

 

Contact

Prof. Dr. Ludwig Theuvsen

University of Göttingen, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development
Platz der Göttinger Sieben 5, D-37073 Göttingen, Germany

Sekretariat: Martina Reichmann

Phone: +49 (0)551/ 39-4851
Fax: +49 (0)551/ 39-4621
Email: mreichm2@gwdg.de

M. Sc. agr. Maximilian Deutsch

University of Göttingen, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development
Platz der Göttinger Sieben 5, D-37073 Göttingen, GermanyPhone: +49 (0)551 39 25130
Email: maximilian.deutsch@agr.uni-goettingen.de